Correlates titer of protection against SARS-CoV-2 proposed by different study groups
Authors, reference | Type of study | Design | Subjects, participants | Methods for anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies detection, units | Proposed correlate titer of protection (units) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Corbett et al. [53] | Animal model | mRNA-1273 vaccine | Non-human primates | IU/mL | No animal with S-specific IgG > 336 IU/mL had BAL subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) > 10,000 copies/mL, and no animal with S-specific IgG > 645 IU/mL had NS sgRNA > 100,000 copies/swab, so these were chosen as the thresholds for protection |
Sui et al. [50] | Animal model | VaccineChAdOx1nCov-19Ad26COV2.SmRNA-1273BBIBP-CorVPiCovaccDNA | Non-human primates | Ab-pseudo/live Nab | 10-160/N/A408/1131862/3481N/A/200N/A/10–100N/A/74 |
Feng et al. [37] | Randomized single-blind vaccine efficacy trial | ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine | Humans | For 90% VE: anti-S IgG: 899 (369, NC), BAU/mL; Anti-RBD IgG: 2360 (723, NC) BAU/mLNormalized live-virus neutralization assay: 938 (294, NC) NF50Pseudovirus neutralization assay: 140 (43, NC) IU/mLA vaccine efficacy of 80% against symptomatic infection with majority alpha (B.1.1.7) variant of SARS-CoV-2 was achieved with 264 BAU/mL: and 506 BAU/mL for anti-S and anti-RBD antibodies, and 26 IU/mL and 247 normalized neutralization titers (NF50) for pseudovirus and live-virus neutralization, respectively | For 80% VE against primary symptomatic COVID-19, for anti-S IgG, was a level of 264 BAU/mLFor anti-RBD IgG, 80% efficacy was achieved with a median antibody level of 506 BAU/mL (95% CI: 135, NC) |
Lau et al. [8] | Cohort study | Immunity 90 days after infection with SARS-COV-2/convalescence | Human | N/ANeutralizing antibody is clearly one major correlate of protection, but the titers associated with protection from re-infection are not precisely defined | The threshold for 50% protection from re-infection for PRNT50 and PRNT90 were 1:25.9 (95% CI 1:24.7–1:27.6) and 1:8.9 (95% CI 1:8.6–1:9.4) respectively50% of patients who recover from symptomatic SARS-CoV would be protected from re-infection for 701 days based on PRNT90 titers or 990 days as estimated by PRNT50 titers |
Meschi et al. [54] | Observational study | Antibody response to an mRNA vaccine | Human, 120 vaccinated HCW and 94 previously infected | N/AQuantitative anti-RBD and virus microneutralization test for robust (≥ 1:80) MNT titerA threshold of 2,000 BAU/mL is highly predictive of strong MNT response in vaccinated individuals and may represent a good surrogate marker of a protective response | Correlation between BAU and MNT titers (MNT titer (≥ 1:80) was reached at 1,814 and 3,564 BAU/mL) |
Bates et al. [55] | Cohort study | Vaccine/convalescence | Human, vaccinated and previously infected | N/A | Escape of the emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants from neutralization by serum antibodies, which may lead to reduced protection from re-infection or increased risk of vaccine breakthrough |
Earle et al. [47] | Statistical analysis | Vaccine | Human | N/A | Antibody titers correlated with efficacy across seven different vaccines; where higher titers correlated with higher vaccine efficacy, despite other uncontrolled variables |
Khoury et al. [10] | Statistical analysis | Vaccine | Human | N/A | Despite the known inconsistencies between studies, a comparison of normalized neutralization levels and vaccine efficacy demonstrated a remarkably strong non-linear relationship between mean neutralization level and the reported protection across different vaccines |
Dimeglio et al. [48] | Cohort study | Vaccinated/unvaccinated/convalescence | Humans, 8758 HCWs | NAb titer ≥ 256 was associated with full (100%) protectionELISA-concentration of 1,700 BAU/mL and above provided full protection | The thresholds of protection should be confirmed in further studies on other populations.Antibody’s reduced neutralizing capacity against new emerging VOC should be tested |
van der Lubbeet al. [45] | Animal model | Vaccine | Syrian hamsters | Nab protective titer between 64–128ELISA log10 between 3.5–4 | Hamsters were classified either as infected or protected from SARS-CoV-2, defined as a lung viral load of either above or below 102 TCID50/g, respectively |
Tostanoski et al. [46] | Animal model | Vaccine | 70 Syrian golden hamsters | RBD-specific binding antibodies were assessed by ELISA | A significant correlation was found between ab titer and lower viral load |
Yu et al. [50] | Animal model | Vaccine | Rhesus macaques, non-human primates | Log Nab titer | Log Nab titer above 2.0 provided complete protection |
McMahan et al. [3] | Animal model | Convalescent | Non-human primates (31 rhesus macaques) | NAb titres | NAb titers of approximately 500 fully protected macaques, and titers of approximately 50 partially protected macaques. These titers should be readily achievable by vaccination in humans. These data demonstrate that relatively low NAb titers are sufficient to protect against SARS-CoV-2 in rhesus macaques |
Haveri et al. [56] | Observational study | Convalescense | Humans | Nab | NAb against the WT virus persisted in 89% and S-IgG in 97% of subjects for at least 13 months after infection. Only 36% had N-IgG by 13 months. The mean S-IgG concentrations declined from 8 to 13 months by less than one-third; N-IgG concentrations declined by two-thirds |
Xiang et al. [39] | Observational study | Convalescent COVID-19 patients | Humans | Virus neutralizing Ab | After one year, approximately 90% of recovered patients still had detectable SARS-CoV-2-specific IgG antibodies against nucleocapsid antigen and RBD-S. Neutralizing activity was detectable in ~43% of patients with a reduction of virus-neutralizing capacity of 22.6% to VOC |
NC: not computed; BAL: broncho-alveolar lavage; Ab: antobodies; VE: vaccine efficacies; NF50: normalized live-virus neutralization titer; N/A: not applicable; MNT: minimal neutralizing titer; WT: wild type; PRNT50: plaque reduction neutralization at 50% neutralization endpoint; PRNT90: plaque reduction neutralization at 90% neutralization endpoint; NS: non-significant